Project Finance Modelling Handbook

I'm writing my next book, the Project Finance Modelling Handbook. As I did with the Financial Modelling Handbook, I'm publishing drafts of each chapter online as I write so that I can get as much feedback and input from fellow professionals as possible.

The Project Finance Modelling Handbook will build on the core model structuring and model-build skills shared in the Financial Modelling Handbook.

I look forward to your comments.

Last updated: September 25th 2023

Table of contents

Glossary of Project Finance terms

Section 1 - Introduction

Section 2 - Setting up the model

  • Start model
  • Timeline options in PF models
  • Timeline flexibility
  • Cashflow waterfall
  • Sources and uses of cash
  • Model solving
  • Scenario and sensitivity analysis

Section 3 - Construction costs

  • Project costs
  • EPC and other construction costs
  • Development costs
  • Development & success fees
  • Construction delays
  • Liquidated damages

Section 4 - Operations

  • Operating revenues
  • Operating costs
  • Working capital
  • Inflation
  • Tariff indexation structures

Section 5 - Currencies

  • Multiple currency models
  • Multiple currencies and inflation

Section 6 - Construction financing

  • CFADS & Debt sizing
  • Techniques to maximise debt sizing
  • Drawdown priorities
  • Share capital
  • Shareholder loans
  • Senior construction debt
  • Equity bridge loans
  • Long-dated equity bridge loans
  • Construction period revenues as a source of funding
  • Use of holding companies

Section 7 - Term debt

  • Debt interest
  • IFRS 9 effective interest rate
  • Debt repayment & sculpting
  • Debt service cover ratios
  • Loan life cover ratios
  • Project life cover ratios
  • Average cost of debt
  • Average loan life
  • Multiple tranches of debt
  • Multiple currency debt
  • Mini-perm debt and refinancing
  • CPI linked debt
  • Balloon repayment
  • How interest rate swaps are priced
  • Working capital facility

Section 8 - Investor returns

  • IRR & NPV
  • Limitations of IRR
  • IRRs with multiple sponsors

Section 9 - Reserve accounts

  • Debt service reserve accounts
  • Maintenance reserve account
  • Working capital reserve account
  • Decommissioning cost reserve

Section 10 - Extracting trapped cash

  • Shareholder loan
  • Early redemption of share capital
  • Upstream loans

Section 11 - Tax considerations

  • Corporate income tax
  • Withholding tax
  • VAT
  • VAT facilities

Section 12 - Accounting treatments in PF transactions

  • IFRS & IAS

Section 13 - Check and alerts

  • Typical checks & alerts

Section 14 - Sector-specific case studies

  • Renewables
  • Calculating yields using excel probability functions
  • Social infrastructure PPPs
  • Water desalination
  • Toll roads

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